Peering beyond the technology hype (30 Aug 2004)
To keep a track of how successful technologies become, through embryonic twinkle to petulant teenager, Gartner has devised what it likes to call the "Technology Hype Cycle".
"Some years ago a number of analysts observed there was a pattern of new technology," says Laura Behrens, analyst at Gartner.
"Something new would happen, there would be tremendous excitement, followed by disillusionment. Then some of those would eventually become well understood in their markets.
"This happened with such regularity that they could do this model."
On a curve of development, the Hype Cycle tries to predict where technologies are heading: into our pockets and living rooms, or into the Betamax graveyard.
Article URL: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/3577746.stm
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